Comparing the structural uncertainty and uncertainty management in four common Land Use Cover Change (LUCC) model software packages

نویسندگان

چکیده

Research on the uncertainty of Land Use Cover Change (LUCC) models is still limited. Through this paper, we aim to globally characterize structural four common software packages (CA_Markov, Dinamica EGO, Modeler, Metronamica) and analyse options that they offer for management. The have been compared qualitatively, based their structures tools, quantitatively, through a study case city Cape Town. Results proved how each model conceptualised modelled system in different way, which led outputs. Statistical or automatic approaches did not provide higher repeatability validation scores than user-driven approaches. available management vary depending model. Communication uncertainties poor across all models.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Environmental Modelling and Software

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1364-8152', '1873-6726']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105411